If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. 3-Year-Old Female Older Male Older Female. From this work, using the same principle, Kovitz derived the beaten-lengths chart which Beyer published in Picking Winners. Messier (7-1), Zandon (8-1), and Mo Donegal (8-1) are other top 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders according to oddsmakers. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. . Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course Play today with NYRA Bets! Why do we care? Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. So a high BSF ceiling is notable, but also consistency is a plus too to battle possible negative regression. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. Every race since has been shorter. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. He is recognized on the Joe Hirsch Honor Roll in the National Museum of Racing for excellence in turf writing. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Going into last year's Kentucky Derby, the highest Beyer Speed Figure earned during the prep season was a 100 posted by Rock Your World when winning the Santa Anita Derby (G1). . Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. Messier and Taiba recorded a 103, tops on the list. A colt being trounced in Belmont MSW company may find a soft spot upstate at Finger Lakes, where the par for the class is 59.In most cases, pars are not listed for races restricted to 2- or 3-year-olds. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. 60 Broad St. First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the system now assigns a Beyer number for each horse race. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back, Register for DFS, receive a free NBA Entry. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on Saturday for his first stakes win in 14 career starts. Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses1 //logo version 1.0.2 - Jun 2022 TVG .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-1 { fill: #000001; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-2 { fill: #fff; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-3 { fill: #009c58; } Visit TVG$200 BONUSIf Your Bet LosesTVG ReviewGet Your First Single-Horse Win Wager BackUp to $200 If You LoseUse Promo Code: 200TVGPLAY NOW. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. Last year, he was on fire. Happy Jack. Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. ECLIPSE AWARD EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2023. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. [citation needed]. . f: (732) 747-8955. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. Sonora, CA (95370) Today. Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. Hence, their status as longshots. His Beyers have progressed from 70 to 88 to 98. color: #FFF; Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. Beyer Figures became part of Daily Racing Form past performances in 1992. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? APPLETON - Change can be difficult, but Appleton East guard Sammi Beyer is taking a positive approach to her senior season. Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. Danzing Candy ran steadily improving figures over his first four races (72-89-92-100) before falling apart in the Santa Anita Derby - when he set a wicked pace over a sloppy track and faded to . A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). Such situations can often arise in turf races when an extremely slow pace prevents horses from running a final time of which they would normally be capable.In cases where figures are questionable, races are reviewed after horses in the field run again. She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. font-size: 12px; As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. }. Trade. Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. You can then presume that he is faster than . 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